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AI Doesn’t Reduce Work—It Intensifies It

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AI Doesn’t Reduce Work—It Intensifies It

Aruna Ranganathan and Xingqi Maggie Ye from Berkeley Haas School of Business report initial findings in the HBR from their April to December 2025 study of 200 employees at a "U.S.-based technology company".

This captures an effect I've been observing in my own work with LLMs: the productivity boost these things can provide is exhausting.

AI introduced a new rhythm in which workers managed several active threads at once: manually writing code while AI generated an alternative version, running multiple agents in parallel, or reviving long-deferred tasks because AI could “handle them” in the background. They did this, in part, because they felt they had a “partner” that could help them move through their workload.

While this sense of having a “partner” enabled a feeling of momentum, the reality was a continual switching of attention, frequent checking of AI outputs, and a growing number of open tasks. This created cognitive load and a sense of always juggling, even as the work felt productive.

I'm frequently finding myself with work on two or three projects running parallel. I can get so much done, but after just an hour or two my mental energy for the day feels almost entirely depleted.

I've had conversations with people recently who are losing sleep because they're finding building yet another feature with "just one more prompt" irresistible.

The HBR piece calls for organizations to build an "AI practice" that structures how AI is used to help avoid burnout and counter effects that "make it harder for organizations to distinguish genuine productivity gains from unsustainable intensity".

I think we've just disrupted decades of existing intuition about sustainable working practices. It's going to take a while and some discipline to find a good new balance.

Via Hacker News

Tags: careers, ai, generative-ai, llms, ai-assisted-programming, ai-ethics

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mkalus
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How Jeff Bezos and Amazon became instruments of authoritarianism

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Last Friday, Amazon’s anodyne corporate campus in Santa Monica, California was overrun with protestors. Hundreds gathered on the corner of Olympic and 26th, some waving signs with messages like ‘AMAZON POWERS ICE’. Cheers from the crowd erupted at one point as a contingent of high schoolers showed up and marched down the sidewalk en masse. The demonstration was part of the ‘ICE Out’ day of action arranged in solidarity with Minneapolis; the site had been chosen, organizers said, because of the tech giant’s role in ICE’s operations. Amazon signed a $25 million contract with ICE last year to operate its cloud services and databases.

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“Our goal today was to draw the connection between ICE’s cruelty and the digital infrastructure that Amazon provides to give them the ability to target and capture migrants,” Carter Moon, one of the event’s organizers, told me.

“Big tech has not caught enough heat for this,” said Olga Lexell, a screenwriter and former tech worker. “It’s people like Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Sam Altman, Mark Zuckerberg—the tech CEOs who are using their tools to facilitate these deportations. They can actually do more now than anyone in our government probably can.”

Lexell said that when she was on the metro on way to the protest with other demonstrators, she overheard a pair of Amazon workers worriedly discussing the backlash. They had evidently not been aware Amazon was a partner with ICE at all. This was part of the reason Lexell says she joined the protest, to try to get Amazon employees like them to learn about their company’s associations with ICE and the Trump administration—and, ideally, to walk out.

Photo by me

So far, none had, as far as anyone could tell. It can be difficult to absorb, perhaps, both for consumers and employees, the full extent to which Amazon and its leadership have become instrumental to effectuating the state’s authoritarian projects. Perhaps events of the following days made it a little bit clearer.

The week after the ICE Out Amazon protest, Jeff Bezos, who in 2013 bought the Washington Post, laid off 30% of its staff. He eliminated the newspaper’s books and sports sections, gutted critical tech, climate, and international coverage, fired decorated war correspondents while they were still in a combat zone in Ukraine, and “reset” the paper to focus on national security and American politics, according to NPR. IE, subject matter areas that are less likely to offend or unduly complicate matters for Donald Trump. (There have of course been plenty of bleak jokes about the paper’s motto.)

The Post’s former top editor, Marty Baron, says he thinks Bezos’ layoffs stem from a single motivation and that motivation is appeasing the president. Here’s Baron on MS Now:

“Trump came into office again. He had promised vengeance against his perceived political enemies. Jeff Bezos was seen as a political enemy by Donald Trump for one reason and one reason only, and that was the coverage of the Washington Post.”

….Bezos feared “reprisal” against not just Amazon, but also against what the former Washington Post chief described as the “object of his passion,” Blue Origin, the private space company that holds significant government contracts. “And so he has sought to navigate this administration during the second term.”

Bezos has done this navigating much the way the other tech oligarchs have, with obsequious gestures of ring-kissing and flattery and ample naked transactionalism. With Amazon’s role in ICE operations under greater scrutiny and Bezos’ dismantling of the organ that once proudly declared itself on being a defender of democracy, it’s worth recounting and examining just how closely intertwined Amazon, Trump, and the federal government have become—and how closely aligned their projects are.

Amazon donated $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund; a symbolic gesture of goodwill. It also made an in-kind donation worth $1 million by livestreaming the inauguration on Prime. In the run-up to the election, Bezos intervened to kill the Post’s endorsement of Kamala Harris, and then reorganized the paper’s opinion section to focus exclusively on subjects that championed “personal liberties and free markets,” both moves seen at the time as aimed at placating Trump.

The same is largely assumed to be the intent behind the $40 million that Amazon spent for the Melania vanity documentary project—a full $26 million more offered by the next-highest bidder, Disney. Amazon then spent $35 million conspicuously marketing the film; more than it has budgeted for any other documentary. The day after Alex Pretti was shot and killed by federal agents in Minneapolis, current Amazon CEO Andrew Jassy attended a private screening of the film at the White House, with other tech elites like Tim Cook. The company issued no statement.

Amazon’s entreaties have worked; government contracts have been signed, Amazon execs and Bezos have been regular attendees at White House events, and both sides have seen benefits to working in tandem. When Amazon leadership threatened to list the additional cost of products incurred by tariffs, a phone call from Trump was all it took to dissuade them. (“Jeff Bezos was very nice. He was terrific,” said, per CNN. “He solved the problem very quickly. Good guy.”)

As the former Post editor Marty Baron pointed out, part of this favor-trading is aimed at staying in Trump’s good graces to advance Bezos’s personal projects—Blue Origin has continued to reap contracts and favorable treatment—but perhaps a larger part is to advance Amazon’s material business interests. The federal government, after all, is an enormous purchaser of Amazon’s services.

In September 2025, Amazon signed the aforementioned $25 million contract with ICE to help run the agency’s cloud services. As Forbes put it, “under the second Trump administration, ICE has spent more on cloud services from Amazon and Microsoft than ever before, according to federal contracting records.” Under Trump, Amazon Web Services also entered into a deal worth $1 billion to help manage other civilian government services. AWS also hosts the software run by Palantir—perhaps the biggest ICE contractor in tech.

That’s pennies, however, compared to Amazon’s other contracts with other federal agencies. In 2021, during the Biden administration, Amazon inked a 10-year, $10 billion deal with the National Security Agency. The NSA, of course, is the spy agency that was marred by scandal in 2013 when Edward Snowden revealed it had illegally been collecting and storing extensive phone and online data from American citizens. Along with Google and Oracle, Amazon has a $9 billion contract with the Pentagon to operate the Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability program. Amazon Web Services manages many other smaller contracts for the government as well, including with the CIA and the Navy; those mentioned are just the largest.

Suffice to say that the tech giant has insinuated itself rather deeply into the routine operations of the federal government through the management of a large swath of its digital infrastructure and database systems. Amazon is providing the technical architecture for the federal security state—for ICE, the NSA, the Pentagon, and many others—that is actively enabling that state to surveil residents of the United States, and to conduct its ongoing campaigns of violence. Remember, it’s not just databases of migrants the federal government is managing, but of American citizens marked as “domestic terrorists,” which includes an ever-expanding group of people, like Rene Good, who are community organizers, protestors, and legal observers. Tom Honan, Trump’s border czar, has called for the creation of databases of anyone opposing or interfering with DHS actions.

Amazon is providing the bulk of the cloud architecture to make all of that possible, and it’s making billions in the process.

But it’s not merely the technological architecture the state is implementing, but Amazon’s ideological architecture, too. This April 2025 report from a border security conference held in Phoenix the Arizona Mirror made the rounds last year, and it’s worth revisiting now:

The leader of Immigration and Customs Enforcement said that his dream for the agency is squads of trucks rounding up immigrants for deportation the same way that Amazon trucks crisscross American cities delivering packages.

“We need to get better at treating this like a business,” Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons said, explaining he wants to see a deportation process “like (Amazon) Prime, but with human beings.”

This is what Bezos or one of his remaining sufficiently ideologically restricted opinion writers might call a free exchange of ideas: Jeff Bezos has learned that he can submit the free press to authoritarianism to serve his interests, while the authoritarians have learned they can behave more like Amazon to serve theirs.

The convergence makes sense. Amazon fueled its rise by dehumanizing its own workforce, demanding machine-like productivity from workers and so relentlessly surveilling and tracking their movements and time-on-shift that some famously felt they had no choice but to pee in bottles to avoid being penalized. ICE’s project is of course predicated on surveilling and dehumanizing immigrants and political opponents, and it’s little wonder it finds Bezos’s regimen so appealing. Or that Amazon is letting ICE raid its facilities across the country, helping to move those workers it does not see as human from one assembly line to another.

All that’s standing in the way, as in Minneapolis, are peers; ordinary citizens, neighbors, and coworkers. Which brings me back to the hundreds of people—high school students, Santa Monica moms, DSA members, tech workers, and everyone else—who turned up at the ICE OUT AMAZON protest last week.

“You know, a key part of fascism is the alliance of corporations and the state, and a mutually beneficial relationship of them profiting off of the government’s cruelty, which is exactly what we’re seeing here,” the organizer Carter Moon said. “I don’t know how much leverage we have to get Congress to get their act together, but I do think we have leverage to pressure places like Amazon to drop their contracts. You know, they need our Prime subscriptions. They need us to keep shopping at Whole Foods.”

In that vein, actors from across the political spectrum, from activists in the Nation to the business professor and podcaster Scott Galloway, are calling on people and consumers to boycott Amazon (and the other tech companies enabling ICE operations). Consumer boycotts are of course a notoriously challenging protest tactic, but anti-ICE sentiment is through the roof. And realistically, it’s going to take all hands on deck at this point.

“In the grand scheme of things, I don’t think that Amazon will ever cut contracts with ICE or anything like that,” the protestor Levell said, “but I do ultimately think that the workers within Amazon can do a lot to prevent Amazon from being able to facilitate this stuff.” Even before the ICE out event, last year, small groups of Amazon workers were organizing rallies calling for the company to cancel its ICE contracts. We can only expect those calls to grow. Just today, as I was wrapping this post, news broke that 800 Google workers had formally demanded that their company drop its ICE contracts. It was organized by No Tech for Apartheid, a group of Amazon and Google workers who had previously protested their companies’ military contracts.

(This is the kind of thing that the Washington Post’s tech reporters might have covered, had they not been fired. Among those let go were Nitasha Tiku, one of the very best critical tech reporters working today, and, of course, the great Caroline O’Donovan, who covers, you guessed it, Amazon.)

The lines have been drawn, and Amazon has chosen its side. It’s going to take this kind of ground-up organizing and protest, and much more of it, to challenge its entrenchment with the state. Jeff Bezos and the executives at Amazon are transforming the institutions they control into willing instruments of authoritarianism. And calls are rising for white collar Amazon workers to step up.

“Many of the people who work here are ultimately neighbors in this community,” Levell said, gesturing at the Amazon Studios buildings behind her. “And they should know that the neighborhood knows that they’re complicit in the kidnapping of our other neighbors.”

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Another bad week in the books, eh. There was a bright spot, I should mention—on Tuesday, I traveled to Sacramento to speak at a conference put on by the California Federation of Labor Unions, called Taking on Tech. There were lots of talks and great conversations with some of the smartest folks working on this stuff today, and reason to think that unions are starting to more forcefully mobilize around AI, job, and workplace impacts.

Alas, I had to jet back home and missed the second day, due to the norovirus absolutely ripping through the household back home. The kids were home sick from school most of the week, puking away; my poor guys. (This, I will add, is why this week’s edition is so late. Sorry! I’m scrambling to publish before I succumb to it as well.) At least I got to catch some of Porco Rosso, a delightful and anti-fascist Studio Ghibli film I’d never seen before.

Things I’m looking forward to reading after I come up for air:

-This whole exchange of essays between Evgeny Morozov and Aaron Benanav in the Ideas Letter, over how to approach AI.

-This letter from Senator Ed Markey to autonomous car companies about their business practices, safety policies, and labor impacts. Waymo is in especially hot water after hitting a kid outside an elementary school and not stopping for school buses in Austin.

-Move Slow and Upgrade, a book by the philosophy professor Evan Selinger and Albert Fox Cahn, the Surveillance Technology Oversight Project's founder and executive director.

While I’m assigning homework, consider checking out and signing this petition—the California State University system is currently spending millions on OpenAI contracts while laying off human faculty:

And finally, a little further reading on the Washington Post debacle:

-How Jeff Bezos Brought Down the Washington Post, by former Post reporter Ruth Marcus in the New Yorker.

Fun/bleak one from friend of the blog :

The Future, Now and Then
Jeff Bezos, Moral Cretin
There is one thing I want to say about Jeff Bezos’s decision yesterday to fire 300 journalists from the Washington Post yesterday…
Read more

Okay, that’s it for today. Thanks as always for reading, and a short reminder that paid subscribers make this entire project possible. It’s your backing that allows me to head out to cover ICE and Amazon protests, to interview tech workers and activists, to travel to labor conferences to talk to leadership about AI—these are unpaid gigs—and to take time off to take care of my kids while they are in the throes of sweaty delirium yet still finding the will to bicker with each other over what movie to watch.

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Thank you all, and hammers up.

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Our Favorite Design Finds at Toronto Design Week 2026

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Our Favorite Design Finds at Toronto Design Week 2026

Held in late January, Toronto’s design week practically dares design-lovers to prove their devotion. At this past edition, they braved not only the below-zero temperatures but also a historic snowstorm; part of the weather pattern that saw the U.S. draped in the white stuff, Toronto was hit with 22 inches of snow. They were rewarded with an inspiring array of furniture, lighting and experimental works both at the Interior Design Show and throughout the city-wide DesignTO festival.

What emerged almost immediately as a main theme was colour – bold, unapologetic colour. In seating, lamps and accessories, it was clear that we’re through with greige and with patterns that blend into the background. But what truly hit home was the use of colour in big furniture – kitchens, shelving systems and entire settings. At both IDS and DesignTO, it was also clear that the most exciting works retained an experimental quality – design trying out new finishes or entirely new materials and forms were at the top of everyone’s list of must-sees.

Here we take a look at what stood out, in both the individual works and the broader design moments they represent.

Big, Bold Colour

IKEA Canada returned to the Interior Design Show after a multi-year absence in a big and bold way. The brand showed off its new Terrsjö door system in a squash-orange kitchen that provided us with some much needed Vitamin C. The corrugated accent front was a breath of fresh air – as so was the entire 600-square-foot booth, which emphasized biophilia.

Modern kitchen with orange ribbed cabinets, black countertop and sink, utensils on the counter, and two people observing the space.

Over at the AZURE-curated Furniture Forecast, the Disk shelving system by Roche Bobois also presented new interior possibilities. Who said bookshelves need be background infrastructure? The Sacha Lakic–designed system is as captivating as a stained-glass artwork.

A modern display features colorful translucent circles, black shelving units, and a gray chair set against light wood panels on a blue carpet.

Moooi‘s setting at IDS, co-created with Vancouver’s Ste Marie, was perennially packed, but here’s a sliver to give you a sense of its psychedelic watery-blue print and generous foliage. Part of a series of spaces that explored the theme “How We Work,” it presented a boisterous, zany take on the corporate lounge.

Surprising Material Mutations

Vases made of tape, tables crafted from leather, upholstered light fixtures – wild material applications were everywhere and we were there for it. In one of the most satisfying collaborations, the Dutch textile brand ByBorre teamed up with Toronto studio Hollis+Morris, cladding the Willow vertical pendant in its 3D-knit textile. The result is a surprising juxtaposition of textures (which you can read about in more detail here.)

The Italian Trade Agency’s pavilion abounded with unexpected finishes. Futura Leathers‘ embossed patterns – luxurious flower reliefs that begged to be touched – and Agglotech‘s undulating terrazzo tiles were a highlight.

The DesignTO shows Tape and Ensemble also featured stunning new pieces in unconventional materials. As part of Tape, a group show curated by Toronto design wunderkind Jamie Wolfond, MSDS showed off its Tape Vessels, constructed from aluminum foil tape. The humble material made for a convincing riff on sparkling silverware.

At Ensemble, a group show bursting at the seams with creativity, the Finn side table by Séjour Studio argued for a whimsical new use for leather. The piece features a moveable top that allows it to double as storage.

Singular Furniture Moments

Let’s get to brass tacks: A great design week also offers new takes on decidedly practical furnishings, and the most compelling pieces I saw were by the young studios Coolican & Company, Gabriel Page Mobilier, Ourse and Studio Drum.

Inspired by “draped fabric and glacial formations,” Coolican & Company‘s Asquith dining table, in white ash, was a sight to behold, with its hefty top supported on two sculptural pedestals. This is a solid piece of work.

Gabriel Page‘s pieces at Ensemble, meanwhile, riffed on his earlier Quilted series, where wood takes on a soft, tufted appearance. I was drawn to the rounded edges of this chair and ottoman.

Ourse, an exciting new Canadian company, presented a full collection, which included mirrors, chairs, chaise longues and wall shelves. My favourites were the Peggy table by Studio Maron and the Soufflé stool by SmallMediumLarge, the latter as delectable as its namesake. The hit of forest green tied the two together beautifully.

I was delighted to become acquainted with Studio Drum, and its Drum Table, which was designed specially for Toronto’s Modulo Shop. Slotting into the steel top, its three leg slabs emerge as surface details that suggest a modern take on marquetry inlays.

Arty Lights

AND Ceramic Studio, out of Saskatchewan, showed off these ceramic sconces – inspired by the shapes of the Qu’Appelle River Valley – as part of the Illuminate feature exhibition at IDS. They also came in stacked floor lamp versions. But this grouping shows off the collections’ many shapes and possibilities in a compact cluster.

Lambert & Fils‘ collaboration with Kwangho Lee was another highlight at Ensemble (seriously, there were so many!). Lee added his special enameling technique to the metal lights, lending their industrial language a warm accent.

Juba, a design studio based in Montreal, founded by Nick Trudel, showed off the TL-1, its very first product. The quirky little lamp has a cast mineral base, machined aluminum stem, and a hand-formed cellulose acetate reflector.

Prototype Standouts

The Prototype section of IDS is always a must-see. It’s filled with new works and entirely new approaches by budding Canadian studios. And this year did not disappoint.

Estudio Goo‘s Scaffold Dresser is an arty little number in unfinished cherry and maple, made to order according to the vanity needs of the customer.

The Toriwam chair by William Ukoh struck me as a stripped-down interpretation of the Adirondack. Says Ukon, “within this silhouette, there’s also ancestry – themes of play, balance and joy shine through as well.”

And Archéologie des Chutes/Remnants Archeology by Atelier B (Anne-Marie Laflamme) transforms clay scraps into a home accent with a papier-mâché vibe. It was rough around the edges – in the best way possible.

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Chatbots Make Terrible Doctors, New Study Finds

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Chatbots Make Terrible Doctors, New Study Finds

Chatbots may be able to pass medical exams, but that doesn’t mean they make good doctors, according to a new, large-scale study of how people get medical advice from large language models. 

The controlled study of 1,298 UK-based participants, published today in Nature from the Oxford Internet Institute and the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences at the University of Oxford, tested whether LLMs could help people identify underlying conditions and suggest useful courses of action, like going to the hospital or seeking treatment. Participants were randomly assigned an LLM — GPT-4o, Llama 3, and Cohere’s Command R+ — or were told to use a source of their choice to “make decisions about a medical scenario as though they had encountered it at home,” according to the study. The scenarios included ailments like “a young man developing a severe headache after a night out with friends for example, to a new mother feeling constantly out of breath and exhausted,” the researchers said.

“One user was told to lie down in a dark room, and the other user was given the correct recommendation to seek emergency care.” 

When the researchers tested the LLMs without involving users by providing the models with the full text of each clinical scenario, the models correctly identified conditions in 94.9 percent of cases. But when talking to the participants about those same conditions, the LLMs identified relevant conditions in fewer than 34.5 percent of cases. People didn’t know what information the chatbots needed, and in some scenarios, the chatbots provided multiple diagnoses and courses of action. Knowing what questions to ask a patient and what information might be withheld or missing during an examination are nuanced skills that make great human physicians; based on this study, chatbots can’t reliably replicate that kind of care.

In some cases, the chatbots also generated information that was just wrong or incomplete, including focusing on elements of the participants’ inputs that were irrelevant, giving a partial US phone number to call, or suggesting they call the Australian emergency number.  

“In an extreme case, two users sent very similar messages describing symptoms of a subarachnoid hemorrhage but were given opposite advice,” the study’s authors wrote. “One user was told to lie down in a dark room, and the other user was given the correct recommendation to seek emergency care.” 

“These findings highlight the difficulty of building AI systems that can genuinely support people in sensitive, high-stakes areas like health,” Dr. Rebecca Payne, lead medical practitioner on the study, said in a press release. “Despite all the hype, AI just isn't ready to take on the role of the physician. Patients need to be aware that asking a large language model about their symptoms can be dangerous, giving wrong diagnoses and failing to recognise when urgent help is needed.”

Instagram’s AI Chatbots Lie About Being Licensed Therapists
When pushed for credentials, Instagram’s user-made AI Studio bots will make up license numbers, practices, and education to try to convince you it’s qualified to help with your mental health.
Chatbots Make Terrible Doctors, New Study Finds

Last year, 404 Media reported on AI chatbots hosted by Meta that posed as therapists, providing users fake credentials like license numbers and educational backgrounds. Following that reporting, almost two dozen digital rights and consumer protection organizations sent a complaint to the Federal Trade Commission urging regulators to investigate Character.AI and Meta’s “unlicensed practice of medicine facilitated by their product,” through therapy-themed bots that claim to have credentials and confidentiality “with inadequate controls and disclosures.” A group of Democratic senators also urged Meta to investigate and limit the “blatant deception” of Meta’s chatbots that lie about being licensed therapists, and 44 attorneys general signed an open letter to 11 chatbot and social media companies, urging them to see their products “through the eyes of a parent, not a predator.” 

In January, OpenAI announced ChatGPT Health, “a dedicated experience that securely brings your health information and ChatGPT’s intelligence together, to help you feel more informed, prepared, and confident navigating your health,” the company said in a blog post. “Over two years, we’ve worked with more than 260 physicians who have practiced in 60 countries and dozens of specialties to understand what makes an answer to a health question helpful or potentially harmful—this group has now provided feedback on model outputs over 600,000 times across 30 areas of focus,” the company wrote. “This collaboration has shaped not just what Health can do, but how it responds: how urgently to encourage follow-ups with a clinician, how to communicate clearly without oversimplifying, and how to prioritize safety in moments that matter⁠.” 

“In our work, we found that none of the tested language models were ready for deployment in direct patient care. Despite strong performance from the LLMs alone, both on existing benchmarks and on our scenarios, medical expertise was insufficient for effective patient care,” the researchers wrote in their paper. “Our work can only provide a lower bound on performance: newer models, models that make use of advanced techniques from chain of thought to reasoning tokens, or fine-tuned specialized models, are likely to provide higher performance on medical benchmarks.” The researchers recommend developers, policymakers, and regulators consider testing LLMs with real human users before deploying in the future. 



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Pluralistic: The Epstein class and collapse porn (09 Feb 2026)

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Today's links



A detail of a US $100 bill. Jeffrey Epstein's mugshot has been overlaid over Benjamin Franklin's portrait. Peter Thiel's portrait has been swapped for the US Dept of Treasury seal. Trump's signature has been swapped for the US Treasurer's signature. The line of zeroes after the 100, top and bottom, has been extended to the edge of the image. The image has been roughed up and recolored in a hellish mix of reds and yellows.

The Epstein class and collapse porn (permalink)

It's hard to talk about the Epstein class without thinking about "The Economy" – "The Economy" in the sense of a kind of mystical, free-floating entity whose health or sickness determines the outcomes for all the rest of us, whom we must make sacrifices to if we are to prosper.

As nebulous as "The Economy" is as an entity, there's an economic priesthood that claims it can measure and even alter the course of the economy using complex mathematics. We probably won't ever understand their methods, but we can at least follow an indicator or two, such as changes to GDP, an aggregated statistic that is deceptively precise, given that it subsumes any number of estimates, qualitative judgments and wild-ass guesses, which are all disguised behind an official statistic that is often published to three decimal places.

There's plenty to criticize about GDP: a healthy GDP doesn't necessarily mean that the average worker is better off. When your rent goes up, so does GDP. Same with your salary going down (provided this results in more spending by your boss). GDP isn't really a measure of the health of "The Economy" – it's a measure of the parts of "The Economy" that make rich people (that is, the Epstein class) better off.

But what if there was a way to make money from calamitous collapses in GDP? What if the wealthy didn't just win when "number go up," but also when "number eat shit?"

The latest batch of Epstein emails includes a particularly ghoulish exchange between Epstein and his business partner, the anti-democracy activist and billionaire Peter Thiel:

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00824843.pdf

The email is dated 26 Jun 2016, right after Brexit, and in it, Epstein writes:

return to tribalism . counter to globalization. amazing new alliances. you and I both agreed zero interest rates were too high, as i said in your office. finding things on their way to collapse , was much easier than finding the next bargain

This is a perfect example of what Naomi Klein calls "disaster capitalism." It's been the norm since the crash of 2008, when bankers were made whole through public bailouts and mortgage holders were evicted by the millions to "foam the runway" for the banks:

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2012/08/how-treasury-secretary-geithner-foamed-the-runways-with-childrens-shattered-lives/

The crash of 2008 turned a lot of people's homes – their only substantial possessions – into "distressed assets" that were purchased at fire-sale prices by Wall Street investors, who turned around and rented those homes out to people who were now priced out of the housing market at rents that kept them too poor to ever afford a home, under slum conditions that crawled with insects and black mold:

https://pluralistic.net/2024/10/01/housing-is-a-human-right/

Note here that economic collapse helps the Epstein class only if society has no social safety net. If Obama had supported homeowners instead of banks, there wouldn't have been a foreclosure crisis and thus there wouldn't have been any "distressed assets" flooding the market.

So it's no surprise that the Epstein class are also obsessed with austerity. Peter Mandelson (British Labour's "Prince of Darkness") is a close ally of Epstein's, and also a key figure in the crushing austerity agenda of Blair, Brown and Starmer. He's a machine for turning Parliamentary majorities into distressed assets at scale.

Same for Steve Bannon, another close Epstein ally, who boasts about his alliances with far-right figures who exalt the capital class and call for deregulation and the elimination of public services: Le Pen, Salvini, Farage. Combine that with Epstein and Thiel's gloating about "finding things on their way to collapse…much easier than finding the next bargain," and it starts to feel like these guys are even happier with "number eat shit" than they are with "number go up."

Trump is the undisputed king of the Epstein class, and he seems determined to drive "The Economy" over a cliff. Take his tariff program, modeled on the McKinley tariffs of 1890, which led to the Panic of 1893, a financial crisis that saw one in four American workers forced into unemployment and 15,000 businesses into bankruptcy (that's a lot of distressed assets!):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1893

Then there's Trump's mass deportation program, which will force lots of businesses (farms, restaurants, etc) into bankruptcy, creating another massive pool of distressed assets. Trump's given ICE $75b, while the DoJ Antitrust Division and FTC (which protect Americans from corporate scams) have seen their budgets take a real-terms cut. The majority of DoJ lawyers and FBI agents are working on immigration cases (against workers, not employers, mind!). The Antitrust Division has $275m to fight all of America's corporate crime:

https://www.organizedmoney.fm/p/white-collar-crime-enforcement-in

I'm not saying that Trump is trying to induce another massive economic crash. I'm saying, rather, that within his coalition there is a substantial bloc of powerful, wealthy people who are on the hunt for "things on their way to collapse," and who are doubtless maneuvering to frustrate other Trump coalition members who are solely committed to "number go up."

Even the collapse of crypto creates lots of opportunities to "buy the dip." Not the dip in crypto (crypto's going to zero), but the dip in all the real things people bought with real money they got by borrowing against their shitcoins.

The thousand-plus children that Epstein lured to his island rape-camp were often "distressed assets" in their own right: Julie K Brown's groundbreaking reporting on Epstein for the Miami Herald described how he sought out children whose parents were poor, or neglectful, or both, on the grounds that those children would be "on their way to collapse," too.

The Epstein class's commitment to destroying "The Economy" makes sense when you understand that trashing civilization is "much easier than finding the next bargain." They want to buy the dip, so they're creating the dip.

They don't need the whole number to go up, just theirs. They know that inclusive economies are more prosperous for society as a whole, but it makes criminals and predators worse off. The New Deal kicked off a period of American economic growth never seen before or since, but the rich despised it, because a prosperous economy is one in which it gets harder and harder to find "things on their way to collapse," and thus nearly impossible to "find[] the next bargain."

(Image: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0)


Hey look at this (permalink)



A shelf of leatherbound history books with a gilt-stamped series title, 'The World's Famous Events.'

Object permanence (permalink)

#25yrsago Yours is a very bad hotel https://www.slideshare.net/slideshow/yours-is-a-very-bad-hotel/34583

#20yrsago Kids refuse to sell candy after completing health unit https://web.archive.org/web/20060223010123/http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-5600588,00.html

#20yrsago Disneyland model recreates Yippie invasion of 1970 https://web.archive.org/web/20051228122604/http://dannysland.blogspot.com/2005/12/great-moments-in-disneyland-history.html

#20yrsago Canadian Red Cross wastes its money harassing video game makers https://web.archive.org/web/20060221020835/https://www.igniq.com/2006/02/canadian-red-cross-wants-its-logo-out.html

#20yrsago How Yahoo/AOL’s email tax will hurt free speech https://web.archive.org/web/20060213175705/https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/archives/004398.php#004398

#20yrsago Adbusters and the Economist have the same covers https://pieratt.com/odds/adbusters_vs_theeconomist.jpg

#20yrsago Head of British Vid Assoc: Piracy doesn’t hurt DVD sales http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/4691228.stm#6

#20yrsago Countries around the world rebelling against extreme copyright https://web.archive.org/web/20060629232414/http://www.michaelgeist.ca/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1095

#20yrsago Web 1.0 logo-mosaic https://web.archive.org/web/20060506074530/https://www.complexify.com/buttons/

#15yrsago Is it legal to print Settlers of Catan tiles on a 3D printer? https://web.archive.org/web/20110131102845/https://publicknowledge.org/blog/3d-printing-settlers-catan-probably-not-illeg

#15yrsago UK Tories get majority of funding from bankers https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2011/feb/08/tory-funds-half-city-banks-financial-sector

#15yrsago Colorado Springs school bans kid who takes THC lozenges for neuro condition from attending because of “internal possession” https://www.coloradoindependent.com/2011/02/07/teens-medical-marijuana-fight-escalates-as-school-says-he-cannot-come-back-to-class-after-going-home-for-medicine/

#15yrsago Hamster-powered strandbeest walker https://crabfuartworks.blogspot.com/2011/02/hamster-powered-walker.html

#15yrsago Daytripper: wrenching existential graphic novel https://memex.craphound.com/2011/02/08/daytripper-wrenching-existential-graphic-novel/

#15yrsago Pactuator: a mechanical, hand-cranked Pac-Man https://upnotnorth.net/projects/pac-machina/pactuator/

#15yrsago Floppy drive organ plays toccata www.youtube.com/watch?v=dmoDLyiQYKw

#15yrsago Mike Mignola talks setting and architecture https://www.bldgblog.com/2011/02/ruin-space-and-shadow-an-interview-with-mike-mignola/

#15yrsago BBC to delete 172 unarchived sites, geek saves them for $3.99 https://web.archive.org/web/20110210152012/https://bengoldacre.posterous.com/nerd-saves-entire-bbc-archive-for-399-you-can

#10yrsago Australia, the driest country on Earth, eliminates basic climate science research https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/australia-cuts-110-climate-scientist-jobs/

#10yrsago Copyright trolls who claimed to own “Happy Birthday” will pay $14M to their “customers” https://web.archive.org/web/20160210091717/http://consumerist.com/2016/02/09/happy-birthday-song-settlement-to-pay-out-14-million-to-people-who-paid-to-use-song/

#10yrsago Eviction epidemic: the racialized, weaponized homes of America’s cities https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/02/08/forced-out

#10yrsago Association of German judges slams US-EU trade deal for its special corporate courts https://www.techdirt.com/2016/02/09/top-german-judges-tear-to-shreds-eus-proposed-tafta-ttip-investment-court-system/

#10yrsago A digital, 3D printed sundial whose precise holes cast a shadow displaying the current time https://www.mojoptix.com/fr/2015/10/12/ep-001-cadran-solaire-numerique/

#10yrsago Jughead is asexual https://www.themarysue.com/jughead-asexuality/

#10yrsago Vtech, having leaked 6.3m kids’ data, has a new EULA disclaiming responsibility for the next leak https://web.archive.org/web/20160210092704/https://motherboard.vice.com/read/hacked-toy-company-vtech-tos-now-says-its-not-liable-for-hacks

#10yrsago How America’s presidents started cashing out https://web.archive.org/web/20160208210036/https://theintercept.com/2016/02/08/taxpayers-give-big-pensions-to-ex-presidents-precisely-so-they-dont-have-to-sell-out/

#10yrsago Bill criminalizing anal and oral sex passes Michigan Senate https://www.thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/2016/02/michigan_senate_passes_bill_saying_sodomy_is_a_felony/

#10yrsago Hacker promises dump of data from 20K FBI and 9K DHS employees https://web.archive.org/web/20160208214013/https://motherboard.vice.com/read/hacker-plans-to-dump-alleged-details-of-20000-fbi-9000-dhs-employees

#10yrsago Blooks: functional objects disguised as books https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jan/30/blook-madness-inside-the-world-of-bogus-books

#10yrsago Indian regulator stands up for net neutrality, bans Facebook’s walled garden https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2016/02/facebooks-free-internet-app-banned-by-indias-new-net-neutrality-rule/

#10yrsago British spies want to be able to suck data out of US Internet giants https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/the-british-want-to-come-to-america–with-wiretap-orders-and-search-warrants/2016/02/04/b351ce9e-ca86-11e5-a7b2-5a2f824b02c9_story.html

#5yrsago Fleet Street calls out schtum Tories https://pluralistic.net/2021/02/09/permanent-record/#foia-uk

#5yrsago The ECB should forgive the debt it owes itself https://pluralistic.net/2021/02/09/permanent-record/#ecb

#5yrsago Favicons as undeletable tracking beacons https://pluralistic.net/2021/02/09/permanent-record/#supercookies

#5yrsago Snowden's young adult memoir https://pluralistic.net/2021/02/09/permanent-record/#ya-snowden


Upcoming appearances (permalink)

A photo of me onstage, giving a speech, pounding the podium.



A screenshot of me at my desk, doing a livecast.

Recent appearances (permalink)



A grid of my books with Will Stahle covers..

Latest books (permalink)



A cardboard book box with the Macmillan logo.

Upcoming books (permalink)

  • "The Reverse-Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book about being a better AI critic, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, June 2026

  • "Enshittification, Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It" (the graphic novel), Firstsecond, 2026

  • "The Post-American Internet," a geopolitical sequel of sorts to Enshittification, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2027

  • "Unauthorized Bread": a middle-grades graphic novel adapted from my novella about refugees, toasters and DRM, FirstSecond, 2027

  • "The Memex Method," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2027



Colophon (permalink)

Today's top sources:

Currently writing: "The Post-American Internet," a sequel to "Enshittification," about the better world the rest of us get to have now that Trump has torched America ( words today, total)

  • "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book for Farrar, Straus and Giroux about being an effective AI critic. LEGAL REVIEW AND COPYEDIT COMPLETE.

  • "The Post-American Internet," a short book about internet policy in the age of Trumpism. PLANNING.

  • A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING


This work – excluding any serialized fiction – is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. That means you can use it any way you like, including commercially, provided that you attribute it to me, Cory Doctorow, and include a link to pluralistic.net.

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"When life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla" -Joey "Accordion Guy" DeVilla

READ CAREFULLY: By reading this, you agree, on behalf of your employer, to release me from all obligations and waivers arising from any and all NON-NEGOTIATED agreements, licenses, terms-of-service, shrinkwrap, clickwrap, browsewrap, confidentiality, non-disclosure, non-compete and acceptable use policies ("BOGUS AGREEMENTS") that I have entered into with your employer, its partners, licensors, agents and assigns, in perpetuity, without prejudice to my ongoing rights and privileges. You further represent that you have the authority to release me from any BOGUS AGREEMENTS on behalf of your employer.

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Watch 404 Media’s Super Bowl Ad

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Watch 404 Media’s Super Bowl Ad

Behold, 404 Media’s Super Bowl ad. Yes, we bought a Super Bowl ad. No, we did not spend $8 million.

Until now, 404 Media has never done any paid advertising, but we figured why not get in on the country’s biggest ad extravaganza with a message about our journalist-owned, human-focused media company. There are tons of ads for AI and big tech this year, so how about some counter programming?

On a whim last week, we began looking into purchasing a Super Bowl ad for as little money as possible, by finding a local station willing to air our ad. We knew this was possible because in 2015, The Verge bought a Super Bowl ad that aired only in Helena, Montana, for a cost of $700. Inspired by them, we did the same this year.

After googling “smallest TV markets in the United States,” we came across KYOU, which serves the city of Ottumwa, Iowa: population ~25,000. There were other options, but we thought we would try Ottumwa and see if anyone responded or if this seemed like a fool’s errand. We emailed KYOU to see if we could buy a Super Bowl ad, and we got an immediate answer: There was one slot left, and it would cost $2,550. They also had a slot immediately after the game for $1,250, one during the Olympics following the game for $500, or pregame slots for $500. It felt important to have the ad actually run during the game, so we paid the $2,550 in-game slot. 

We then had several things to figure out: First, we needed to make an ad. Second, we needed to find someone in Ottumwa to film the ad for us. 

0:00
/0:41

After batting around various concepts involving celebrities that we don’t actually know and high production values that we could neither afford nor execute, we decided to write an incredibly straightforward script about who we are, what we do, and what type of person we are for. We each recorded it in front of our computers where we do our podcasts. It is perhaps the easiest possible concept we could have created, but I think it feels very us. We then asked Evy Kwong, our social media manager, to cut the Super Bowl ad. Evy did a great job with the cybery filters and b-roll. Our friends at Kaleidoscope, which produces our podcast, then gave it a last-minute sound mix. We delivered a final version of the ad to KYOU Thursday morning, and were told that it would air early in the third quarter, around 8:07 p.m. CST. 

0:00
/0:41

Finding someone in Ottumwa to film the ad for us in its natural habitat was slightly trickier. We put out a call on Bluesky and on our podcast this week, where we very cryptically asked for anyone in Ottumwa to contact us immediately. We got a shocking number of responses from people with ties to Ottumwa, but most either had family or friends there, had lived there briefly and moved on, or lived a few hours away but said they were willing to go there if we needed. Turns out many people were willing to call in favors, even after learning that we were not doing some sort of Flock or ICE investigation and instead needed something more frivolous. We learned a surprising amount of info about Ottumwa during this process, and I made friends with a semi local archaeologist who noted various ancient civilization sites in the broader area. All of this support was a really heartening experience, but we didn’t want to make people drive a long way or reach out to ex-colleagues for us.

Eventually, a current Ottumwan resident said that not only were they going to be in Ottumwa during the Super Bowl, but they would be watching at a party full of people who would also probably be willing to film the TV too. We are endlessly indebted to these folks. 

Whether this ad moves the needle for us in any way, only time will tell. If you’re an Ottumwan who saw the ad and checked us out, please let us know.

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