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The Sun Is Undergoing a Mysterious Change and Nobody Knows Why

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The Sun Is Undergoing a Mysterious Change and Nobody Knows Why

The Sun is experiencing “striking” long-term shifts in its behavior that have gone undiscovered for more than a decade, according to a study published in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society on Wednesday. 

The Sun passes through a cycle of high and low activity that lasts roughly 11 years and is caused by variations in the star’s magnetic activity. This activity peaks at a solar maximum, producing more frequent sunspots and higher radio flux, which are known as surface “proxies” of intense magnetism, as well as dramatic eruptions like solar flares and coronal mass ejections. At solar minimum, when magnetic activity winds down, the Sun enters a quieter phase. Throughout the cycle, sound waves known as p-modes oscillate near the surface of the Sun, providing clues about its internal structure. 

All of the above is well known, but using new tools, astronomers have just discovered a weird mismatch in surface and p-mode signals that emerged more than a decade ago and has become especially pronounced in the current epoch, Cycle 25, which began in 2019.

“Essentially, we can use the p-modes as a proxy and a probe of activity underneath the surface of the Sun, because the frequencies change in response to the changing magnetic field,” said Bill Chaplin, a professor of astrophysics at the University of Birmingham who led the study, in a call with 404 Media. 

“The sunspot number and the radio flux are basically proxies of the total amount of magnetic flux,” he continued. “What we're doing with the p-modes is saying: What is actually happening beneath the visible surface?”  

The Sun Is Undergoing a Mysterious Change and Nobody Knows Why
Graphic illustrating the p-mode oscillations in recent solar cycles. Image: W.J. Chaplin

To answer that question, Chaplin and his colleagues examined four decades of observations from the Birmingham Solar Oscillations Network (BiSON), a collection of six remote solar observatories located around the world that have tracked the Sun’s oscillations since 1976. 

While astronomers have monitored sunspots for centuries, BiSON has enabled researchers to monitor long-term shifts in “helioseismology,” which measures the seismic activity inside the Sun, a dataset that has led to the recent discovery of so-called "glitches" and other previously undetectable solar phenomena. 

“There's a tendency to think that because we've only had data on a few cycles, that all cycles look like that, and that they copy and repeat,” Chaplin said. “I think what's becoming clear is that that isn't the case. No cycle is the same as another.”

The new study revealed that Cycle 25 shows stronger high-frequency p-mode activity just below the surface compared to recent cycles, but that it also appears weaker in terms of surface proxies, meaning it is showing comparatively fewer sunspots and reduced radio flux. This discrepancy hints that magnetic activity has become increasingly confined to a region of several hundred miles under the surface with each successive cycle, though the underlying reason for this change is unclear.

“We saw this really clear signal in the high frequency modes,” said Chaplin. “You can see in the high frequency modes that the current cycle is as strong as Cycles 22 and 23 and that the picture looks very different in the proxies.”

The results suggest that surface proxies, while valuable as rough estimates of magnetic activity, don’t provide the full picture of the roiling dynamics playing out under the solar surface. Chaplin and his colleagues note that several other studies have presented evidence for long-term changes in near-surface solar phenomena, though it will take more research to understand what is driving these trends.

To that end, the team plans to continue observing Cycle 25, which just passed its maximum and is expected to close out with a minimum toward the end of the 2020s. The researchers speculated that the structural changes may be linked either to the longer Hale cycle, which is a period covering two solar cycles—roughly 22 years. Since the Sun’s magnetic poles flip after each solar cycle, the Hale cycle measures the time it takes for the Sun to return to its original magnetic state.

These long-term observations are slowly peeling back the enigmatic inner workings of the Sun, especially the solar dynamo—the process that generates its magnetic field—which remains poorly understood. These efforts could help refine forecasts of hazardous space weather near Earth, while also shedding light on the behavior of other stars.

“Getting more robust space weather predictions is important, but also, from the science point of view, there is [a need] for a better understanding of the dynamo, and how the dynamo changes on long timescales,” Chaplin said.

“Helioseismology is important because it enables you to see inside the Sun, which is something that you can't do by any other means,” he concluded.

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mkalus
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‘Cracked Oura’ Is an App For Using the Oura Ring Without the Monthly Subscription

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‘Cracked Oura’ Is an App For Using the Oura Ring Without the Monthly Subscription

Rather than pay a monthly subscription for an app that plenty of people think kinda sucks, a developer has created Cracked Oura, an open source app that lets Oura ring wearers query and analyze their health data without the monthly fee. 

On Thursday, Oura announced the new Ring 5, a lighter and smaller wearable with an allegedly better battery life. That ring will cost at least $399, and some models cost as much as $499. An Oura subscription, which is required to actually get usable insights on your sleep, stress, and exercise, costs nearly $70 a year or $6 a month.

Or, users could try Cracked Oura, which developer Elmo Ahorinta published on GitHub earlier this year. “Pay for the ring, not for the app that is not even that good,” its GitHub page reads.

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Do you know anything else about Oura? I would love to hear from you. Using a non-work device, you can message me securely on Signal at joseph.404 or send me an email at joseph@404media.co.

The page says Cracked Oura keeps the health data local to a user’s device, provides some deeper insights than the official app, and, most importantly, doesn’t require a subscription. The app works by using Oura’s data export function on its website. “​​Anyone can request the data from their website and it comes with a bunch of CSVs that contain the data. My application just takes the CSVs and populates a database,” Ahorinta told me in an email. Rather than having to log in to Oura’s website and manually download their data each time, Cracked Oura does it automatically, Ahorinta said.

It’s not complete, though. “At the moment, my application misses some features that Oura has. For example, women's health, symptom radar, and the front page's short texts about sleep and readiness are features that would need reverse engineering,” Ahorinta said. “Also, features like recording your workout heart rate and adding tags requires the subscription. But other than that, my application can be used to visualize the same data points that Oura does.”

The GitHub page lists Claude as a contributor, indicating Ahorinta used AI to make the app.

Even if not that many people end up using Cracked Oura, its existence highlights that people don’t necessarily want to be locked into a single platform, or a monthly subscription fee, when they’ve already spent a bunch of money to generate data about their own health. “I hope that other people would also contribute to this project and fix my bugs and bad design choices that I have made. I believe that this type of workaround applications could be made for any other wearable devices that have a subscription that gatekeep some parts of the data,” Ahorinta said.

Oura did not respond to a request for comment.

The company recently told cybersecurity journalist Zack Whittaker that it does “receive infrequent requests from the government” for user data. Oura wouldn’t say how many requests it receives, how often it turns over that requested data, or what kinds of data is requested, Whittaker wrote.

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mkalus
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Chillhop Summer Essentials 2026

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Chillhop Summer Essentials 2026

It's that time again, another quarter has passed, and summer is about to begin.

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‘BusPatrol’ Put AI Cameras in Tens of Thousands of School Buses. Now They Want to Give Cops Access

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‘BusPatrol’ Put AI Cameras in Tens of Thousands of School Buses. Now They Want to Give Cops Access

BusPatrol, a company that has installed AI-powered cameras in tens of thousands of school buses around the U.S., now plans to turn those cameras into automatic license plate readers (ALPRs), capturing the location of every vehicle the buses drive past, and give that data to law enforcement, 404 Media has learned. The plan will essentially transform school buses into roaming surveillance vehicles, taking a technology that was originally designed to issue tickets to people illegally passing stopped buses and using it for much wider and general law enforcement, likely without a warrant.

BusPatrol has already taken steps to share the collected data with law enforcement contracting giant Axon, according to leaked BusPatrol documents and a source with knowledge of the plans. Internally, BusPatrol has acknowledged how controversial its plan to collect and share this data is, pointing specifically to concerns about ICE using license plate data, but emphasizes the likely success of selling the angle of protecting children.

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mkalus
10 hours ago
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McClatchy runs AI slop with journalists’ names on it

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McClatchy Media runs newspapers around the US. But the management have fallen to the AI. Their exciting new plan is called “content scaling”. From Eric Nelson, vice-president of local news: [Wrap, archive]

Nelson was promoting the company’s new “content scaling agent,” an AI summarization tool powered by Anthropic’s Claude, which he said can help reporters find “new audiences, angles and entry points.”

“Journalists who embrace and experiment with this tool are going to win,” Nelson told the group, according to multiple people familiar with the meeting. “Journalists who are defiant will fall behind. Bottom line: We need more stories and we need more inventory.”

This is someone who thinks what their company does now is human slop, and they’re literally unable to tell if something’s actually any good.

It’s not clear who built the Content Scaling Agent or who sold it to McClatchy.

Journalists are now withholding their names from the bylines for the slop, under union and contract rules. [Wrap, archive]

But McClatchy is insisting on using the journalists’ names anyway, per Kathy Vetter, chief of staff for local news:

“We have every right to use their work,” she said, according to multiple sources familiar with the meeting. “It belongs to us, and if an editor wants to go … in there and repurpose a reporter’s content, they can put their name on it.”

Why would McClatchy want to abuse a journalist’s personal reputation like this? McClatchy’s blaming Google!

Nelson said the company needed to use reporters’ names to show “authority” with Google, whose changing algorithms have induced massive traffic plunges for news publishers, as it was “very important to say that this is from our reported stories.”

McClatchy is also trying to cover up that it’s publishing AI slop:

An April 7 update to the CSA [content scaling agent] said that the “discover explainer” drafts optimized for Google would no longer automatically include an AI disclaimer and that reporters must manually include them.

All this is for the Google that just screwed over everyone by trying to steal all their content and serve it with the AI.

There’s a union agreement at McClatchy against AI in the newsroom. McClatchy decided to just break that agreement, first thing! [Sacramento Bee]

Under The Sacramento Bee news employees’ latest contract, ratified in February, the Guild is supposed to receive 30 days’ notice before management deploys generative artificial intelligence technology in the newsroom, Lange said.

McClatchy rolled out the technology without telling them, she said. “It was a brand-new contract, and it was almost immediately violated.”

Reporters at several McClatchy papers went on strike over this.

This is the same trick that Politico tried to pull with AI in the newsroom last year. Breaking the union deal didn’t work out for Politico either. That union had a slam dunk win in arbitration in December. And just this week, Politico has shut down the AI newsroom tools: [NewsGuild]

We refused to back down, and POLITICO heard us loud and clear that these tools do not belong in our newsroom.

But I’m sure McClatchy will get there in due course.

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mkalus
10 hours ago
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Pope Leo to AI bros: Just stop it

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Pope Leo XIV presented his first encyclical letter to the Vatican on Monday. Titled “Magnifica Humanitas,” or Magnificent Humanity, the 43,000 word missive specifically takes aim at AI — and the AI bros. [Vatican]

It’s a book-length writeup on the AI bubble and why it’s terrible. It details all the current human abuses of AI in practice, and states that none of this should be allowed to happen. The Pope told the press: [Vatican News]

Artificial intelligence now demands to be disarmed, freed from logics that turn it into an instrument of domination, exclusion or death.

This is the Catholic Church going up against greedy technology tycoons and pointing out just how lethal and dangerous this technology is to the little guy, to democracy, and to the world at large.

It’s written by smart guys who have thought deeply on this for a long time. Pope Leo warns that the AI revolution is driven by the “idolatry of profit that sacrifices the weak.”

(Fun fact: the Pope’s undergraduate degree is in mathematics, with electives in Hebrew, Latin and theology.)

The Pope is well aware that the internet is filling up with AI slop. “The search for truth is an essential element of democracy,” he says, citing “Origins of Totalitarianism,” Hannah Arendt’ s 1951 book on the rise of Nazism. AI is producing the scenario Arendt pointed to as the prerequisite for totalitarian domination: destroying people’s ability to discern fact from fiction.

Pope Leo made his mission clear when he chose his papal name. It was in homage to Leo XIII, the 19th century pope who stood up for the common man against the industrial tycoons of the 1800s. AI represents the industrial revolution of the modern age with similar challenges.

So he is not just taking a stand against AI, the technology, but also the tech billionaires and their greed.

The timing of this missive is perfect, just as SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI are getting ready to launch their ridiculous IPOs — though it’s unlikely the Pope cares. So far Anthropic have responded to the encyclical with vapid content-free sucking up. [Anthropic]

Pope Leo hates current AI so much. He’s been talking about the abuses of AI since he got the job in May 2025. This encyclical is how a pope expresses utter disgust with the AI bro creeps. It’s not just the AI tech, it’s everything it stands for and why the bros are doing all of this.

This encyclical will be the basis for what Leo represents moving forward. This will be Pope Leo’s battle and his legacy, and it’s the reason the Catholic Church chose an American to be the Pope

The encyclical says a lot of the obvious correct things about AI. Any Pivot to AI fan wouldn’t find a lot to disagree with. It’s nice to see someone with a platform this huge saying this obvious stuff.

So what does this mean? What follows from this?

An encyclical isn’t a set of religious directives. It’s a position paper. The Pope has not charged Catholics worldwide to burn down the data centres. Cool as that would be.

Catholics probably can’t go into work and claim a religious exemption from Claude Code. Though the encyclical does give Catholics who hate AI an excellent set of talking points to answer that AI bro who just doesn’t stop.

The encyclical does not have direct consequences. Functionally, this is just a letter. But it’s a letter that’s in every newspaper this week. It’s going to be influential.

The Pope calls for government regulation to stop AI abuses. And up against that, we have a ton of money. But the encyclical will still give politicians a bit of think tank input on things they have to consider politically.

Even the rich tech bros are treating this encyclical as a threat. The AI companies lobbied the Vatican quite hard in the leadup to the encyclical. We’re not sure they got a lot of what they wanted. [Politico]

But again, an encyclical is just a letter. Pope Francis did a quite good encyclical on climate change in 2015. Then he followed that up in 2023 annoyed that nothing much had been done. There’s only so much a letter, even from the Pope, can do in the face of the money.

This encyclical will help swing the vibe against AI, however. Maybe J.D. Vance will excommunicate the Pope. You know he wants to.

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mkalus
10 hours ago
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